Who's Running 2028
Updated June 24, 2026

The 2028 swing states

Most of the country is not really up for grabs. The 2028 election will be decided in a handful of closely divided states. Here are the seven core battlegrounds - worth 93 electoral votes - plus the next tier that could come into play depending on who the nominees are.

The core seven

2028 battleground states

Pennsylvania
19 electoral votes

2024: Trump +1.7. Voted Biden in 2020, Trump in 2024.

Tossup
Georgia
16 electoral votes

2024: Trump +2.2. Voted Biden in 2020, Trump in 2024.

Tossup
North Carolina
16 electoral votes

2024: Trump +3.2. Voted Trump in 2020, Trump in 2024.

Tossup
Michigan
15 electoral votes

2024: Trump +1.4. Voted Biden in 2020, Trump in 2024.

Tossup
Arizona
11 electoral votes

2024: Trump +5.5. Voted Biden in 2020, Trump in 2024.

Tossup
Wisconsin
10 electoral votes

2024: Trump +0.9. Voted Biden in 2020, Trump in 2024.

Tossup
Nevada
6 electoral votes

2024: Trump +3.1. Voted Biden in 2020, Trump in 2024.

Tossup
The next tier

States that could tip in 2028

Not core battlegrounds today, but close enough that the right nominee or a national shift could put them in play.

Texas
40 electoral votes
Likely R
Florida
30 electoral votes
Likely R
Ohio
17 electoral votes
Likely R
Virginia
13 electoral votes
Likely D
Minnesota
10 electoral votes
Lean D
Iowa
6 electoral votes
Likely R
New Mexico
5 electoral votes
Lean D
Maine
4 electoral votes
Likely D
New Hampshire
4 electoral votes
Lean D
Watch the map move

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Quick answers

2028 swing states FAQ

What are the swing states for 2028?
The seven core 2028 battlegrounds are Pennsylvania, Georgia, North Carolina, Michigan, Arizona, Wisconsin, Nevada. They were the closest states in 2024 and together hold 93 electoral votes.
Which swing state has the most electoral votes?
Pennsylvania, with 19 electoral votes, is the largest of the core 2028 battlegrounds - which is why it is often called the tipping-point state.
Why are these the swing states?
These states were decided by only a point or a few points in 2024 and have flipped between the parties in recent cycles, so both campaigns realistically can win them.
Could other states become battlegrounds in 2028?
Yes. Depending on the nominees, states like New Hampshire, Minnesota, New Mexico, Virginia, Florida, Iowa or Ohio could tighten or loosen. The map is never fixed.

Next: how each party gets to 270.