About 2028 Tracker: how we track the race
2028 Tracker is a nonpartisan, continuously-updated guide to the 2028 U.S. presidential election. The goal is simple: be the clearest, most accurate, and most current answer to every question about the 2028 race - and to show our work, so you can check it.
The status labels, defined
The single thing most coverage gets wrong is blurring people who have actually filed to run with people who are merely floated. We separate them with four plain labels:
Where every number comes from
- Federal Election Commission (FEC) - who has formally filed to run for president in 2028.
- Wikipedia poll aggregation - the dated national 2028 primary polling tables, which cite each pollster's release.
- Emerson College and other pollsters - individual published 2028 primary surveys.
- Polymarket - live prediction-market implied odds (real-money, not a forecast).
- Ballotpedia - candidate biographies and ballot-access background.
- The U.S. Constitution - eligibility rules - natural-born citizen, age 35, the 22nd Amendment two-term limit.
How often we update
Continuously. Every page carries a visible last-updated date, automated jobs pull fresh FEC filings, prediction-market odds, and news, and a daily improvement process keeps the content current. When a single fact moves, that item gets its own updated date and source - so freshness is real, not a sitewide rubber stamp.
Odds and polls, read honestly
Prediction-market odds are real money but they are not a forecast, and primary polls this far out mostly measure name recognition. We show both as dated, sourced data and say plainly what they do and do not mean. See the live 2028 odds and 2028 polls.
Our standards
- Nonpartisan and factual - same labels and sourcing for every party.
- Every number is sourced and dated, so it can be checked.
- Nothing is fabricated or simulated. We never invent a poll, a date, or a candidacy, and we never present a guess as a real prediction.
- When the honest answer is "not yet known," we say so rather than fill the gap.
Start with the full 2028 candidate tracker, or see every contender.