Who's Running 2028
Updated June 24, 2026
16 electoral votes Tossup / Battleground

Will North Carolina vote Republican or Democratic in 2028?

Yes - North Carolina is a genuine 2028 swing state. It is one of the seven battlegrounds decided by the narrowest margins in 2024, and with 16 electoral votes it is likely to see heavy spending and candidate visits from both parties. No 2028 nominee has been chosen yet, so the eventual matchup is unknown, but North Carolina is expected to be close.

North Carolina at a glance

  • Electoral votes16
  • 2028 ratingTossup / Battleground
  • RegionSouth
  • CapitalRaleigh
  • 2024 resultTrump (R)
  • 2020 resultTrump (R)
  • 2016 resultTrump (R)
  • 2024 marginTrump +3.2

How North Carolina fits the 2028 map

North Carolina stayed competitive through 2024 (Trump +3.2), keeping it firmly in battleground territory for 2028.

Because it is so closely divided, North Carolina is one of the few states where the national outcome is genuinely decided. Expect both 2028 nominees to compete here hard.

See the full picture on the 2028 electoral map and swing-state guide.

Quick answers

North Carolina 2028: frequently asked questions

Is North Carolina a swing state in 2028?
Yes. North Carolina is one of the seven core battleground states expected to decide the 2028 election. It was decided by Trump +3.2 in 2024.
How many electoral votes does North Carolina have in 2028?
North Carolina has 16 electoral votes for the 2028 election, based on the 2020 Census apportionment.
Who won North Carolina in 2024?
North Carolina was carried by Donald Trump (Republican) in the 2024 presidential election.
How has North Carolina voted recently?
North Carolina voted Republican in 2016, Republican in 2020, and Republican in 2024.
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