Who's Running 2028
Updated June 24, 2026
15 electoral votes Tossup / Battleground

Will Michigan vote Republican or Democratic in 2028?

Yes - Michigan is a genuine 2028 swing state. It is one of the seven battlegrounds decided by the narrowest margins in 2024, and with 15 electoral votes it is likely to see heavy spending and candidate visits from both parties. No 2028 nominee has been chosen yet, so the eventual matchup is unknown, but Michigan is expected to be close.

Michigan at a glance

  • Electoral votes15
  • 2028 ratingTossup / Battleground
  • RegionMidwest
  • CapitalLansing
  • 2024 resultTrump (R)
  • 2020 resultBiden (D)
  • 2016 resultTrump (R)
  • 2024 marginTrump +1.4

How Michigan fits the 2028 map

Michigan flipped between 2020 and 2024 (Trump +1.4 in 2024), which is exactly why it sits at the center of the 2028 map.

Because it is so closely divided, Michigan is one of the few states where the national outcome is genuinely decided. Expect both 2028 nominees to compete here hard.

See the full picture on the 2028 electoral map and swing-state guide.

Quick answers

Michigan 2028: frequently asked questions

Is Michigan a swing state in 2028?
Yes. Michigan is one of the seven core battleground states expected to decide the 2028 election. It was decided by Trump +1.4 in 2024.
How many electoral votes does Michigan have in 2028?
Michigan has 15 electoral votes for the 2028 election, based on the 2020 Census apportionment.
Who won Michigan in 2024?
Michigan was carried by Donald Trump (Republican) in the 2024 presidential election.
How has Michigan voted recently?
Michigan voted Republican in 2016, Democratic in 2020, and Republican in 2024.
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