Updated June 24, 2026
5 electoral votes Lean Democratic
Will New Mexico vote Republican or Democratic in 2028?
Probably democratic. New Mexico is usually a Democratic-leaning state, rated Lean Democratic for 2028. Barring a large national shift, its 5 electoral votes are expected to go to the Democratic nominee again - though the 2028 candidates have not yet been set.
New Mexico at a glance
- Electoral votes5
- 2028 ratingLean Democratic
- RegionWest
- CapitalSanta Fe
- 2024 resultHarris (D)
- 2020 resultBiden (D)
- 2016 resultClinton (D)
How New Mexico fits the 2028 map
New Mexico has voted Democratic in each of the last three presidential elections, and analysts rate it Lean Democratic for 2028.
New Mexico's 5 electoral votes are an important part of its party's base in the race to 270.
See the full picture on the 2028 electoral map and swing-state guide.
Quick answers
New Mexico 2028: frequently asked questions
Is New Mexico a swing state in 2028?
No. New Mexico is rated Lean Democratic and is not considered a top battleground for 2028, though every state is contested.
How many electoral votes does New Mexico have in 2028?
New Mexico has 5 electoral votes for the 2028 election, based on the 2020 Census apportionment.
Who won New Mexico in 2024?
New Mexico was carried by Kamala Harris (Democratic) in the 2024 presidential election.
How has New Mexico voted recently?
New Mexico voted Democratic in 2016, Democratic in 2020, and Democratic in 2024.
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