2028 outlook
30 electoral votes Likely Republican

Will Florida vote Republican or Democratic in 2028?

Probably Republican. Florida is usually a Republican-leaning state, which we rate Likely Republican for 2028. Barring a large national shift, its 30 electoral votes are expected to go to the Republican nominee again - though the 2028 candidates have not yet been set.

Is Florida a swing state in 2028? No - Florida is not a 2028 swing state. It is rated Likely Republican and is not a top battleground.

Updated

Florida at a glance

  • Electoral votes30
  • 2028 ratingLikely Republican
  • RegionSouth
  • CapitalTallahassee
  • 2024 resultTrump (R)
  • 2020 resultTrump (R)
  • 2016 resultTrump (R)

How Florida fits the 2028 map

Florida has voted Republican in each of the last three presidential elections, and we rate it Likely Republican for 2028.

Florida's 30 electoral votes are an important part of its party's base in the race to 270.

See the full picture on the 2028 electoral map and swing-state guide.

Voting in Florida in 2028

Whatever Florida does in November, you have to be registered first - and the rules are set by Florida, not by Washington. Here is what applies here.

  • Registration deadline29 days before Election Day
  • Register onlineYes
  • Same-day registrationNo
  • Automatic registrationNo
  • ID at the pollsPhoto ID requested

Register to vote in Florida (official vote.gov) - full Florida registration guide

Quick answers

Florida 2028: frequently asked questions

Is Florida a swing state in 2028?
No. Florida is rated Likely Republican and is not considered a top battleground for 2028, though every state is contested.
How many electoral votes does Florida have in 2028?
Florida has 30 electoral votes for the 2028 election, based on the 2020 Census apportionment.
Who won Florida in 2024?
Florida was carried by Donald Trump (Republican) in the 2024 presidential election.
How has Florida voted recently?
Florida voted Republican in 2016, Republican in 2020, and Republican in 2024.
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