2028 running-mate analysis
Per-candidate VP pick analysis for every major 2028 contender. Each page examines electoral map math, the 12th Amendment same-state constraint, and the ticket-balancing considerations that shape who a nominee would choose as a running mate.
No running mates have been named yet
Running mates are chosen by the presidential nominee after clinching the party primary -- typically in the summer of the election year. For 2028 that would be summer 2028. No candidate has formally entered the race yet and no shortlists have been publicly reported. The pages below examine what a VP pick would need to accomplish for each hypothetical nominee, based on electoral math and publicly available information.
Democratic contenders: VP pick analysis
CA same-state constraint with Harris; VP must add battleground credibility
Michigan (15 EV Tossup) already on ticket; Whitmer same-state constraint
Pennsylvania (19 EV, largest battleground) built in; VP targets other dimensions
NY Safe D (28 EV); youngest potential nominee ever (39 on Election Day)
Michigan (15 EV Tossup) on ticket; Buttigieg same-state 12th Amendment constraint
CA same-state constraint with Newsom; VP must add swing-state credibility
KY Safe R (8 EV); VP must supply battleground credibility from PA/GA/MI/AZ/WI
MN Lean D (10 EV); 2024 VP nominee; Klobuchar same-state 12th Amendment constraint
NJ Safe D (14 EV); VP must supply battleground credibility from swing states
IL Safe D (19 EV); self-funding capacity; VP must add battleground credibility
Republican contenders: VP pick analysis
First sitting VP seeking the presidency since George H.W. Bush in 1988
FL Likely R (30 EV); DeSantis same-state 12th Amendment constraint
FL Likely R (30 EV); Rubio same-state constraint; term-limited out Jan 2027
GA Tossup (16 EV) already on ticket; VP can focus on other battlegrounds
SC Safe R (9 EV); Tim Scott same-state constraint; foreign-policy profile
TX Likely R (40 EV); Abbott same-state constraint; Calgary-born eligibility note
OH Likely R (17 EV); Vance same-state 12th Amendment constraint
The 12th Amendment same-state constraint
The 12th Amendment requires each state's presidential electors to vote for at least one person not from their own state. If a presidential and vice-presidential nominee are both residents of the same state, that state's electors cannot vote for both, effectively forfeiting those electoral votes.
The constraint is most significant for large or competitive states. Notable same-state pairings among 2028 contenders: Newsom and Harris (both California, 54 EV); Buttigieg and Whitmer (both Michigan, 15 EV); Rubio and DeSantis (both Florida, 30 EV); Vance and Ramaswamy (both Ohio, 17 EV). Each running-mate page explains the relevant constraint for that candidate.
The modern precedent is Dick Cheney, who changed his official residence from Texas to Wyoming in 2000 to avoid costing the Bush-Cheney ticket Texas's electoral votes (then 32 EV). Full 12th Amendment explainer -->
Running-mate FAQ
Who will be the 2028 running mates?
What is the 12th Amendment same-state constraint?
When will 2028 VP nominees be announced?
What factors go into a running-mate pick?
Does the vice president need to be eligible for president?
See also: Vice President 2028 · 12th Amendment explainer · Full 2028 candidate list · Democratic contenders · Republican contenders