2028 outlook
40 electoral votes Likely Republican

Will Texas vote Republican or Democratic in 2028?

Probably Republican. Texas is usually a Republican-leaning state, which we rate Likely Republican for 2028. Barring a large national shift, its 40 electoral votes are expected to go to the Republican nominee again - though the 2028 candidates have not yet been set.

Is Texas a swing state in 2028? No - Texas is not a 2028 swing state. It is rated Likely Republican and is not a top battleground.

Updated

Texas at a glance

  • Electoral votes40
  • 2028 ratingLikely Republican
  • RegionSouth
  • CapitalAustin
  • 2024 resultTrump (R)
  • 2020 resultTrump (R)
  • 2016 resultTrump (R)

How Texas fits the 2028 map

Texas has voted Republican in each of the last three presidential elections, and we rate it Likely Republican for 2028.

Texas's 40 electoral votes are an important part of its party's base in the race to 270.

See the full picture on the 2028 electoral map and swing-state guide.

Voting in Texas in 2028

Whatever Texas does in November, you have to be registered first - and the rules are set by Texas, not by Washington. Here is what applies here.

  • Registration deadline30 days before Election Day
  • Register onlineYes
  • Same-day registrationNo
  • Automatic registrationNo
  • ID at the pollsStrict photo ID

Register to vote in Texas (official vote.gov) - full Texas registration guide

Quick answers

Texas 2028: frequently asked questions

Is Texas a swing state in 2028?
No. Texas is rated Likely Republican and is not considered a top battleground for 2028, though every state is contested.
How many electoral votes does Texas have in 2028?
Texas has 40 electoral votes for the 2028 election, based on the 2020 Census apportionment.
Who won Texas in 2024?
Texas was carried by Donald Trump (Republican) in the 2024 presidential election.
How has Texas voted recently?
Texas voted Republican in 2016, Republican in 2020, and Republican in 2024.
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