Live from the markets
2028 election odds
Who do the prediction markets favor to win in 2028? These are real-money implied odds - not polls and not a forecast. This far out they mostly track name recognition, so read them as a sentiment gauge, not a prediction.
Market leader
JD Vance
Vice President of the United States
20.3%implied odds
- 1JD VanceR20.3%
- 2Gavin NewsomD15.3%
- 3Marco RubioR14.6%
- 4Jon OssoffD5.7%
- 5Alexandria Ocasio-CortezD5.3%
- 6Kamala HarrisD4.4%
- 7Josh ShapiroD2.9%
- 8Pete ButtigiegD2.3%
Source: Polymarket (live). View the market. Odds move constantly.
By candidate
2028 odds for each contender
JD Vance 2028 odds
Republican · Vice President of the United States
Gavin Newsom 2028 odds
Democratic · Governor of California
Marco Rubio 2028 odds
Republican · U.S. Secretary of State
Pete Buttigieg 2028 odds
Democratic · Former U.S. Transportation Secretary
Kamala Harris 2028 odds
Democratic · Former Vice President
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 2028 odds
Democratic · U.S. Representative (NY-14)
Josh Shapiro 2028 odds
Democratic · Governor of Pennsylvania
Ron DeSantis 2028 odds
Republican · Governor of Florida
Gretchen Whitmer 2028 odds
Democratic · Governor of Michigan
Andy Beshear 2028 odds
Democratic · Governor of Kentucky
Brian Kemp 2028 odds
Republican · Governor of Georgia
Ted Cruz 2028 odds
Republican · U.S. Senator (Texas)
Vivek Ramaswamy 2028 odds
Republican · Entrepreneur; Ohio governor candidate
Tim Walz 2028 odds
Democratic · Governor of Minnesota
Cory Booker 2028 odds
Democratic · U.S. Senator (New Jersey)
J.B. Pritzker 2028 odds
Democratic · Governor of Illinois
Nikki Haley 2028 odds
Republican · Former U.N. Ambassador
Jon Ossoff 2028 odds
Democratic · U.S. Senator (Georgia)
Quick answers
2028 odds FAQ
Who is favored to win the 2028 election?
As of the latest snapshot, JD Vance leads the prediction markets, but this far out the numbers mostly track name recognition and news, not a real forecast.
Where do these 2028 odds come from?
These figures come from public prediction markets (primarily Polymarket's 2028 presidential winner market). They reflect what bettors think, not polling or an official forecast.
Are 2028 election odds accurate this early?
No. More than two years out, prediction-market odds are volatile and driven by attention. They are interesting, not predictive. Treat them as a sentiment gauge.
See also the 2028 polls and head-to-head matchups.