2028 Tracker
Updated September 23, 2026

The 2028 election, state by state

Pick any state to see its electoral votes, how it voted in 2016, 2020 and 2024, and its 2028 outlook. The race for the White House is really a race for 270 of 538 electoral votes - and most of them are already spoken for.

226
Lean Democratic (electoral votes)
93
Tossup battlegrounds
219
Lean Republican (electoral votes)
All 50 states + DC

2028 electoral map: click any state

Colors show our rating of each state - an analytic read of recent trend, not a prediction. Hover for the numbers, click for the full state outlook.

Safe Democratic 190 EV

California 54, New York 28, Illinois 19, New Jersey 14, Washington 12, Massachusetts 11, Colorado 10, Maryland 10, Oregon 8, Connecticut 7, Hawaii 4, Rhode Island 4, Delaware 3, District of Columbia 3, Vermont 3

Likely Democratic 17 EV

Virginia 13, Maine 4

Lean Democratic 19 EV

Minnesota 10, New Mexico 5, New Hampshire 4

Tossup / Battleground 93 EV

Pennsylvania 19, Georgia 16, North Carolina 16, Michigan 15, Arizona 11, Wisconsin 10, Nevada 6

Likely Republican 93 EV

Texas 40, Florida 30, Ohio 17, Iowa 6

Safe Republican 126 EV

Indiana 11, Tennessee 11, Missouri 10, Alabama 9, South Carolina 9, Kentucky 8, Louisiana 8, Oklahoma 7, Arkansas 6, Kansas 6, Mississippi 6, Utah 6, Nebraska 5, Idaho 4, Montana 4, West Virginia 4, Alaska 3, North Dakota 3, South Dakota 3, Wyoming 3

The states that decide it

2028 battleground states

These seven states were decided by the narrowest margins in 2024. Together they hold 93 electoral votes - and they are where the 2028 election will most likely be won or lost.

Pennsylvania
19 electoral votes

2024 margin: Trump +1.7. Flipped or held by the narrowest of margins.

Tossup
Georgia
16 electoral votes

2024 margin: Trump +2.2. Flipped or held by the narrowest of margins.

Tossup
North Carolina
16 electoral votes

2024 margin: Trump +3.2. Flipped or held by the narrowest of margins.

Tossup
Michigan
15 electoral votes

2024 margin: Trump +1.4. Flipped or held by the narrowest of margins.

Tossup
Arizona
11 electoral votes

2024 margin: Trump +5.5. Flipped or held by the narrowest of margins.

Tossup
Wisconsin
10 electoral votes

2024 margin: Trump +0.9. Flipped or held by the narrowest of margins.

Tossup
Nevada
6 electoral votes

2024 margin: Trump +3.1. Flipped or held by the narrowest of margins.

Tossup

Read the full 2028 swing-state guide or see the path to 270 for each party.

Quick answers

2028 electoral votes FAQ

How many electoral votes are there in 2028?
There are 538 electoral votes in 2028, the same total as 2024, set by the 2020 Census apportionment. A candidate must win 270 to win the presidency.
Which state has the most electoral votes in 2028?
California has the most electoral votes in 2028, with 54. The next largest are Texas (40) and Florida (30).
What are the seven 2028 swing states?
The seven core 2028 battlegrounds are Pennsylvania, Georgia, North Carolina, Michigan, Arizona, Wisconsin, Nevada, together worth 93 electoral votes. They were the closest states in 2024 and are where the election will most likely be decided.
Does the electoral vote count change for 2028?
No. The number of electoral votes each state has is fixed by the decennial Census. The 2020 Census apportionment applies to both the 2024 and 2028 elections. The next reapportionment happens after the 2030 Census and would first affect 2032.
Which state is the tipping-point state in 2028?
Pennsylvania, with 19 electoral votes, is widely considered the tipping-point state. It is the largest of the core battlegrounds, and whichever candidate wins Pennsylvania has often crossed 270 electoral votes in recent cycles.

See also: 2028 swing states | Path to 270 | Electoral map by rating

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