Updated July 14, 2026

The 2028 election, state by state

Pick any state to see its electoral votes, how it voted in 2016, 2020 and 2024, and its 2028 outlook. The race for the White House is really a race for 270 of 538 electoral votes - and most of them are already spoken for.

226

Lean Democratic (electoral votes)

Tossup battlegrounds

219

Lean Republican (electoral votes)

The states that decide it

2028 battleground states

These seven states were decided by the narrowest margins in 2024. Together they hold 93 electoral votes - and they are where the 2028 election will most likely be won or lost.

Pennsylvania

19 electoral votes

2024 margin: Trump +1.7. Flipped or held by the narrowest of margins.

Tossup

Georgia

16 electoral votes

2024 margin: Trump +2.2. Flipped or held by the narrowest of margins.

Tossup

North Carolina

16 electoral votes

2024 margin: Trump +3.2. Flipped or held by the narrowest of margins.

Tossup

Michigan

15 electoral votes

2024 margin: Trump +1.4. Flipped or held by the narrowest of margins.

Tossup

Arizona

11 electoral votes

2024 margin: Trump +5.5. Flipped or held by the narrowest of margins.

Tossup

Wisconsin

10 electoral votes

2024 margin: Trump +0.9. Flipped or held by the narrowest of margins.

Tossup

Nevada

6 electoral votes

2024 margin: Trump +3.1. Flipped or held by the narrowest of margins.

Tossup

Read the full 2028 swing-state guide or see the path to 270 for each party.

All 50 states + DC

Every state, sorted by electoral votes

Ratings are an analytic read of recent trend, not a prediction. Tap any state for the full picture.

Tossup / Battleground

Tossup / Battleground

North Carolina

16 EV · South

Tossup / Battleground

Michigan

15 EV · Midwest

Tossup / Battleground

Tossup / Battleground

Tossup / Battleground

Tossup / Battleground

Order shown reflects the rating scale: Safe D, Likely D, Lean D, Tossup, Lean R, Likely R, Safe R.

Quick answers

2028 electoral votes FAQ

How many electoral votes are there in 2028?

There are 538 electoral votes in 2028, the same total as 2024, set by the 2020 Census apportionment. A candidate must win 270 to win the presidency.

Which state has the most electoral votes in 2028?

California has the most electoral votes in 2028, with 54. The next largest are Texas (40) and Florida (30).

What are the seven 2028 swing states?

The seven core 2028 battlegrounds are Pennsylvania, Georgia, North Carolina, Michigan, Arizona, Wisconsin, Nevada, together worth 93 electoral votes. They were the closest states in 2024 and are where the election will most likely be decided.

Does the electoral vote count change for 2028?

No. The number of electoral votes each state has is fixed by the decennial Census. The 2020 Census apportionment applies to both the 2024 and 2028 elections. The next reapportionment happens after the 2030 Census and would first affect 2032.

Which state is the tipping-point state in 2028?

Pennsylvania, with 19 electoral votes, is widely considered the tipping-point state. It is the largest of the core battlegrounds, and whichever candidate wins Pennsylvania has often crossed 270 electoral votes in recent cycles.