Will Pennsylvania vote Republican or Democratic in 2028?
Yes - Pennsylvania is a genuine 2028 swing state. It is one of the seven battlegrounds decided by the narrowest margins in 2024, and with 19 electoral votes it is likely to see heavy spending and candidate visits from both parties. No 2028 nominee has been chosen yet, so the eventual matchup is unknown, but Pennsylvania is expected to be close.
Pennsylvania at a glance
- Electoral votes19
- 2028 ratingTossup / Battleground
- RegionNortheast
- CapitalHarrisburg
- 2024 resultTrump (R)
- 2020 resultBiden (D)
- 2016 resultTrump (R)
- 2024 marginTrump +1.7
How Pennsylvania fits the 2028 map
Pennsylvania flipped between 2020 and 2024 (Trump +1.7 in 2024), which is exactly why it sits at the center of the 2028 map.
Because it is so closely divided, Pennsylvania is one of the few states where the national outcome is genuinely decided. Expect both 2028 nominees to compete here hard.
See the full picture on the 2028 electoral map and swing-state guide.
Pennsylvania 2028: frequently asked questions
Is Pennsylvania a swing state in 2028?
How many electoral votes does Pennsylvania have in 2028?
Who won Pennsylvania in 2024?
How has Pennsylvania voted recently?
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