JD Vance vs Marco Rubio: 2028
JD Vance and Marco Rubio are both potential candidates for the Republican nomination in 2028. They would be competing for the same primary voters. No one has formally declared yet, so this is a comparison of where each stands, not a result. Note: Marco Rubio is now listed as not running (Said he has "no plans at this time" to run (Sept 2026); Wikipedia lists him as declined).
JD Vance- Age (2026)
- 41
- Home state
- Ohio
- Age in 2029
- 44
Marco Rubio- Age (2026)
- 55
- Home state
- Florida
Percentages are a snapshot of the Polymarket 2028 presidential winner market (June 2026). They move constantly and mostly track name recognition this far out - they are not forecasts.
Vance vs Rubio 2028 polls and odds
Are there JD Vance vs Marco Rubio polls yet? Not for this exact pairing. Pollsters have begun testing some hypothetical 2028 matchups, but none has published this one. Any single "JD Vance vs Marco Rubio 2028 poll" you see today is an early, low-signal hypothetical, not a forecast.
The closest real, continuously updated signal is the prediction market. Below is each candidate's current share of the Polymarket 2028 presidential-winner market - a June 2026 snapshot that, this early, tracks name recognition more than the eventual outcome.
See the full live board on the 2028 election odds page and aggregated survey averages on the 2028 polls page. These percentages are not forecasts and move constantly.
JD Vance: where things stand
The sitting vice president and presumed Republican frontrunner. He has acknowledged he is considering 2028 and made an early-state trip to Iowa in 2026.
Standing: The clear early Republican frontrunner, at or near the top of every 2028 GOP primary poll in mid-2026.
Marco Rubio: where things stand
Former 2016 candidate now serving as Secretary of State, long seen as the main alternative to Vance. On September 9, 2026 he said he has "no plans at this time" to run in 2028 and is focused on his job; Wikipedia now lists him among Republicans who declined to run. He did not rule out a future campaign outright.
Standing: Placed second to JD Vance in most 2028 Republican primary polls through September 2026 (16 percent in Big Data Poll, September 13-15) and is second in the Polymarket Republican nomination market, though he now says he has no plans to run.
JD Vance vs Marco Rubio: FAQ
Who would win, JD Vance or Marco Rubio, in 2028?
Are there JD Vance vs Marco Rubio 2028 polls?
Are JD Vance and Marco Rubio running for president in 2028?
Is this a primary matchup?
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