General election matchup

Kamala Harris vs Marco Rubio: 2028

Kamala Harris (Democratic) and Marco Rubio (Republican) are two of the most-discussed names for 2028. No nominee has been chosen, but pollsters have started testing this exact pairing: the most recent published survey (Emerson College, August 16-17, 2026) had Marco Rubio ahead 48% to 43%. This far out, such numbers track name recognition more than the eventual result - the full polling table and comparison are below. Note: Marco Rubio is now listed as not running (Said he has "no plans at this time" to run (Sept 2026); Wikipedia lists him as declined).

Kamala Harris headshotKamala Harris
Former Vice President
DemocraticLikely to run
4%Win-presidency snapshot
Age (2026)
61
Home state
California
Age in 2029
64
VS
Marco Rubio headshotMarco Rubio
U.S. Secretary of State and National Security Adviser
RepublicanNot running
8%Win-presidency snapshot
Age (2026)
55
Home state
Florida

Percentages are a snapshot of the Polymarket 2028 presidential winner market (June 2026). They move constantly and mostly track name recognition this far out - they are not forecasts.

Polls and odds

Harris vs Rubio 2028 polls: every published head-to-head

Yes, Rubio vs Harris 2028 polls exist - early ones. No party has chosen a nominee, so every survey below is a hypothetical that mostly measures name recognition this far out. It is real, published polling all the same. Newest first, each row verbatim from the pollster's release:

PollsterField datesSampleHarrisRubioUndecided
Emerson CollegeAugust 16-17, 20261,000 (LV)43%48%9%
Morning ConsultNovember 14-16, 20252,201 (RV)42%40%18%

Sources: each pollster's published release, collected via the general-election polling tables of Wikipedia's 2028 United States presidential election article. Verified July 2, 2026.

Alongside the surveys, the continuously updated signal is the prediction market. Below is each candidate's share of the Polymarket 2028 presidential-winner market - a June 2026 snapshot that, this early, also tracks name recognition more than the eventual outcome.

4%
Kamala Harris - chance to win the presidency
8%
Marco Rubio - chance to win the presidency

See the full live board on the 2028 election odds page and aggregated survey averages on the 2028 polls page. These percentages are not forecasts and move constantly.

Kamala Harris: where things stand

The 2024 Democratic nominee retains a national base. She passed on the 2026 California governor race, keeping a 2028 run open, and says she is thinking about it.

Standing: Has led most national 2028 Democratic primary polls since spring 2026, though two summer polls (Emerson, July 19-20; Quantus Insights, August 26-28) put Pete Buttigieg first; only mid-single digits in betting markets.

Full Kamala Harris 2028 profile

Marco Rubio: where things stand

Former 2016 candidate now serving as Secretary of State, long seen as the main alternative to Vance. On September 9, 2026 he said he has "no plans at this time" to run in 2028 and is focused on his job; Wikipedia now lists him among Republicans who declined to run. He did not rule out a future campaign outright.

Standing: Placed second to JD Vance in most 2028 Republican primary polls through September 2026 (16 percent in Big Data Poll, September 13-15) and is second in the Polymarket Republican nomination market, though he now says he has no plans to run.

Full Marco Rubio 2028 profile

Quick answers

Kamala Harris vs Marco Rubio: FAQ

Who would win, Kamala Harris or Marco Rubio, in 2028?
It is too early to know - no 2028 nominee has been chosen, and polls this far out mostly track name recognition. For what it is worth, the most recent published survey of this pairing (Emerson College, August 16-17, 2026) had Marco Rubio ahead 48% to 43%. Kamala Harris is currently rated "Likely to run" and Marco Rubio "Not running" to run.
Are there Kamala Harris vs Marco Rubio 2028 polls?
Yes - early hypothetical ones. The most recent is Emerson College (August 16-17, 2026, 1,000 (LV)): Kamala Harris 43%, Marco Rubio 48%, 9% undecided. Because no nominee has been chosen, surveys this far out mostly measure name recognition, not the eventual result. Every published head-to-head for this pairing is in the table on this page.
Are Kamala Harris and Marco Rubio running for president in 2028?
As of October 2026 neither has formally declared. Kamala Harris: Publicly says she is considering another run; leads recent primary polls. Marco Rubio: Said he has "no plans at this time" to run (Sept 2026); Wikipedia lists him as declined.
Is this a Democrat vs Republican matchup?
Yes. Kamala Harris is a Democrat and Marco Rubio is a Republican, so this would be a general-election style matchup if both won their party's nomination.
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