JD Vance vs Kamala Harris: 2028
JD Vance (Republican) and Kamala Harris (Democratic) are two of the most-discussed names for 2028. No nominee has been chosen, but pollsters have started testing this exact pairing: the most recent published survey (TPSI, May 21, 2026) had Kamala Harris ahead 47% to 39%. This far out, such numbers track name recognition more than the eventual result - the full polling table and comparison are below.
JD Vance- Age (2026)
- 41
- Home state
- Ohio
- Age in 2029
- 44
Kamala Harris- Age (2026)
- 61
- Home state
- California
- Age in 2029
- 64
Percentages are a snapshot of the Polymarket 2028 presidential winner market (June 2026). They move constantly and mostly track name recognition this far out - they are not forecasts.
Vance vs Harris 2028 polls: every published head-to-head
Yes, Harris vs Vance 2028 polls exist - early ones. No party has chosen a nominee, so every survey below is a hypothetical that mostly measures name recognition this far out. It is real, published polling all the same. Newest first, each row verbatim from the pollster's release:
| Pollster | Field dates | Sample | Vance | Harris | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TPSI | May 21, 2026 | 893 (LV) | 39% | 47% | 14% |
| Zogby | January 1-7, 2026 | 891 (LV) | 42.1% | 48.5% | 9.4% |
| Morning Consult | November 14-16, 2025 | 2,201 (RV) | 42% | 43% | 15% |
| Overton Insights | June 23-26, 2025 | 1,200 (RV) | 42% | 45% | 12% |
Sources: each pollster's published release, collected via the general-election polling tables of Wikipedia's 2028 United States presidential election article. Verified July 2, 2026.
Alongside the surveys, the continuously updated signal is the prediction market. Below is each candidate's share of the Polymarket 2028 presidential-winner market - a June 2026 snapshot that, this early, also tracks name recognition more than the eventual outcome.
See the full live board on the 2028 election odds page and aggregated survey averages on the 2028 polls page. These percentages are not forecasts and move constantly.
JD Vance: where things stand
The sitting vice president and presumed Republican frontrunner. He has acknowledged he is considering 2028 and made an early-state trip to Iowa in 2026.
Standing: The clear early Republican frontrunner, at or near the top of every 2028 GOP primary poll in mid-2026.
Kamala Harris: where things stand
The 2024 Democratic nominee retains a national base. She passed on the 2026 California governor race, keeping a 2028 run open, and says she is thinking about it.
Standing: Has led most recent national 2028 Democratic primary polls (from the high 20s to the mid 40s since spring 2026), though only mid-single digits in betting markets.
JD Vance vs Kamala Harris: FAQ
Who would win, JD Vance or Kamala Harris, in 2028?
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