Marco Rubio vs Gavin Newsom: 2028
Marco Rubio (Republican) and Gavin Newsom (Democratic) are two of the most-discussed names for 2028. No nominee has been chosen, but pollsters have started testing this exact pairing: the most recent published survey (Morning Consult, November 14-16, 2025) had Gavin Newsom ahead 41% to 39%. This far out, such numbers track name recognition more than the eventual result - the full polling table and comparison are below.
Marco Rubio- Age (2026)
- 55
- Home state
- Florida
- Age in 2029
- 57
Gavin Newsom- Age (2026)
- 58
- Home state
- California
- Age in 2029
- 61
Percentages are a snapshot of the Polymarket 2028 presidential winner market (June 2026). They move constantly and mostly track name recognition this far out - they are not forecasts.
Rubio vs Newsom 2028 polls: every published head-to-head
Yes, Newsom vs Rubio 2028 polls exist - early ones. No party has chosen a nominee, so every survey below is a hypothetical that mostly measures name recognition this far out. It is real, published polling all the same. Newest first, each row verbatim from the pollster's release:
| Pollster | Field dates | Sample | Rubio | Newsom | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Morning Consult | November 14-16, 2025 | 2,201 (RV) | 39% | 41% | 20% |
| Leger360 | August 29-31, 2025 | 849 (A) | 44% | 49% | 7% |
Sources: each pollster's published release, collected via the general-election polling tables of Wikipedia's 2028 United States presidential election article. Verified July 2, 2026.
Alongside the surveys, the continuously updated signal is the prediction market. Below is each candidate's share of the Polymarket 2028 presidential-winner market - a June 2026 snapshot that, this early, also tracks name recognition more than the eventual outcome.
See the full live board on the 2028 election odds page and aggregated survey averages on the 2028 polls page. These percentages are not forecasts and move constantly.
Marco Rubio: where things stand
Former 2016 candidate now serving as Secretary of State. Named by President Trump as a possible successor and widely seen as the main alternative to Vance.
Standing: Consistently second to JD Vance in 2028 Republican primary polls and the main alternative to him; one May 2026 Emerson survey showed them within a point, but most polls give Vance a double-digit lead.
Gavin Newsom: where things stand
Term-limited California governor and front-of-pack Democrat who built a national profile countering the Trump administration. In June 2026 he said he and his wife are under federal investigation, calling it political retaliation for weighing a 2028 bid. Says he will decide seriously after the 2026 midterms.
Standing: Leads Democratic 2028 prediction markets (around a 30 percent chance of the nomination) and runs at or near the top of recent national Democratic primary polls.
Marco Rubio vs Gavin Newsom: FAQ
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