Gavin Newsom vs Marco Rubio: 2028
Gavin Newsom (Democratic) and Marco Rubio (Republican) are two of the most-discussed names for 2028 - but they have never faced each other, and no 2028 nominee has been chosen. There are essentially no head-to-head 2028 general-election polls this far out, so the honest answer to "who would win" is: it is far too early to know. Here is how they actually compare.
Gavin Newsom- Age (2026)
- 58
- Home state
- California
- Age in 2029
- 61
Marco Rubio- Age (2026)
- 55
- Home state
- Florida
- Age in 2029
- 57
Percentages are a snapshot of the Polymarket 2028 presidential winner market (June 2026). They move constantly and mostly track name recognition this far out - they are not forecasts.
Gavin Newsom: where things stand
Term-limited California governor with a high national profile built countering the Trump administration. Says he will give 2028 serious thought after the 2026 midterms.
Standing: Sits near the top of Democratic prediction markets and polls a close second among Democrats in early primary surveys.
Marco Rubio: where things stand
Former 2016 candidate now serving as Secretary of State. Named by President Trump as a possible successor and widely seen as the main alternative to Vance.
Standing: In the top tier of 2028 Republican primary polling and widely seen as the main alternative to Vance; some mid-2026 polls have shown them close to tied.
Gavin Newsom vs Marco Rubio: FAQ
Who would win, Gavin Newsom or Marco Rubio, in 2028?
Are Gavin Newsom and Marco Rubio running for president in 2028?
Is this a Democrat vs Republican matchup?
Get alerts on this 2028 matchup
We will email you if Gavin or Marco enters the race or the odds move.