General election matchup

Kamala Harris vs Josh Hawley: 2028

Kamala Harris (Democratic) and Josh Hawley (Republican) are two of the most-discussed names for 2028 - but they have never faced each other, and no 2028 nominee has been chosen. No pollster has published a head-to-head for this exact pairing yet, so the honest answer to "who would win" is: it is far too early to know. Here is how they actually compare. Note: Josh Hawley is now listed as not running (Ruled it out: "No, I have no intention of doing so, period." (Washington Examiner, Sept 2026)).

Kamala Harris headshotKamala Harris
Former Vice President
DemocraticLikely to run
4%Win-presidency snapshot
Age (2026)
61
Home state
California
Age in 2029
64
VS
Josh Hawley headshotJosh Hawley
U.S. Senator (Missouri)
RepublicanNot running
Age (2026)
46
Home state
Missouri

Percentages are a snapshot of the Polymarket 2028 presidential winner market (June 2026). They move constantly and mostly track name recognition this far out - they are not forecasts.

Polls and odds

Harris vs Hawley 2028 polls and odds

Are there Kamala Harris vs Josh Hawley polls yet? Not for this exact pairing. Pollsters have begun testing some hypothetical 2028 matchups, but none has published this one. Any single "Kamala Harris vs Josh Hawley 2028 poll" you see today is an early, low-signal hypothetical, not a forecast.

What does exist is real, dated primary polling for each name: Kamala Harris polled 27% in the latest Democratic primary survey on file (Big Data Poll, September 13-15, 2026, 1,329 LV). Full tables are on the 2028 polls page.

The closest real, continuously updated signal is the prediction market. Below is each candidate's current share of the Polymarket 2028 presidential-winner market - a June 2026 snapshot that, this early, tracks name recognition more than the eventual outcome.

4%
Kamala Harris - chance to win the presidency
n/a
Josh Hawley - chance to win the presidency

See the full live board on the 2028 election odds page and aggregated survey averages on the 2028 polls page. These percentages are not forecasts and move constantly.

Kamala Harris: where things stand

The 2024 Democratic nominee retains a national base. She passed on the 2026 California governor race, keeping a 2028 run open, and says she is thinking about it.

Standing: Has led most national 2028 Democratic primary polls since spring 2026, though two summer polls (Emerson, July 19-20; Quantus Insights, August 26-28) put Pete Buttigieg first; only mid-single digits in betting markets.

Full Kamala Harris 2028 profile

Josh Hawley: where things stand

A populist, economic-nationalist Missouri senator long mentioned for the Trump-aligned lane. In September 2026 he ended speculation about a 2028 bid, telling the Washington Examiner he has no intention of seeking the Republican nomination.

Standing: Ruled it out: "No, I have no intention of doing so, period." (Washington Examiner, Sept 2026).

Full Josh Hawley 2028 profile

Quick answers

Kamala Harris vs Josh Hawley: FAQ

Who would win, Kamala Harris or Josh Hawley, in 2028?
It is too early to know. No 2028 nominees have been chosen and no pollster has published a head-to-head for this pairing yet. Kamala Harris is currently rated "Likely to run" and Josh Hawley "Not running" to run.
Are there Kamala Harris vs Josh Hawley 2028 polls?
Not for this exact pairing yet. Pollsters have begun testing some hypothetical 2028 matchups, but none has published a Kamala Harris vs Josh Hawley survey so far. We will add head-to-head polling here as soon as a pollster tests this matchup.
Are Kamala Harris and Josh Hawley running for president in 2028?
As of July 2026 neither has formally declared. Kamala Harris: Publicly says she is considering another run; leads recent primary polls. Josh Hawley: Ruled it out: "No, I have no intention of doing so, period." (Washington Examiner, Sept 2026).
Is this a Democrat vs Republican matchup?
Yes. Kamala Harris is a Democrat and Josh Hawley is a Republican, so this would be a general-election style matchup if both won their party's nomination.
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