Gavin Newsom vs Josh Hawley: 2028
Gavin Newsom (Democratic) and Josh Hawley (Republican) are two of the most-discussed names for 2028 - but they have never faced each other, and no 2028 nominee has been chosen. No pollster has published a head-to-head for this exact pairing yet, so the honest answer to "who would win" is: it is far too early to know. Here is how they actually compare. Note: Josh Hawley is now listed as not running (Ruled it out: "No, I have no intention of doing so, period." (Washington Examiner, Sept 2026)).
Gavin Newsom- Age (2026)
- 58
- Home state
- California
- Age in 2029
- 61
Percentages are a snapshot of the Polymarket 2028 presidential winner market (June 2026). They move constantly and mostly track name recognition this far out - they are not forecasts.
Newsom vs Hawley 2028 polls and odds
Are there Gavin Newsom vs Josh Hawley polls yet? Not for this exact pairing. Pollsters have begun testing some hypothetical 2028 matchups, but none has published this one. Any single "Gavin Newsom vs Josh Hawley 2028 poll" you see today is an early, low-signal hypothetical, not a forecast.
What does exist is real, dated primary polling for each name: Gavin Newsom polled 17% in the latest Democratic primary survey on file (Harvard-Harris, September 26-28, 2026, 2,200 RV). Full tables are on the 2028 polls page.
The closest real, continuously updated signal is the prediction market. Below is each candidate's current share of the Polymarket 2028 presidential-winner market - a June 2026 snapshot that, this early, tracks name recognition more than the eventual outcome.
See the full live board on the 2028 election odds page and aggregated survey averages on the 2028 polls page. These percentages are not forecasts and move constantly.
Gavin Newsom: where things stand
Term-limited California governor and front-of-pack Democrat who built a national profile countering the Trump administration. In June 2026 he said he and his wife are under federal investigation, calling it political retaliation for weighing a 2028 bid. In September 2026 he said he would not run if Kamala Harris runs, and says he will decide after the 2026 midterms.
Standing: Third in the Polymarket 2028 Democratic nomination market (about 13 percent on Sept 23, 2026, behind Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez and Jon Ossoff) and second to Kamala Harris in most recent national Democratic primary polls.
Josh Hawley: where things stand
A populist, economic-nationalist Missouri senator long mentioned for the Trump-aligned lane. In September 2026 he ended speculation about a 2028 bid, telling the Washington Examiner he has no intention of seeking the Republican nomination.
Standing: Ruled it out: "No, I have no intention of doing so, period." (Washington Examiner, Sept 2026).
Gavin Newsom vs Josh Hawley: FAQ
Who would win, Gavin Newsom or Josh Hawley, in 2028?
Are there Gavin Newsom vs Josh Hawley 2028 polls?
Are Gavin Newsom and Josh Hawley running for president in 2028?
Is this a Democrat vs Republican matchup?
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