Marco Rubio vs Tim Walz: 2028
Marco Rubio (Republican) and Tim Walz (Democratic) are two of the most-discussed names for 2028 - but they have never faced each other, and no 2028 nominee has been chosen. No pollster has published a head-to-head for this exact pairing yet, so the honest answer to "who would win" is: it is far too early to know. Here is how they actually compare. Note: Marco Rubio is now listed as not running (Said he has "no plans at this time" to run (Sept 2026); Wikipedia lists him as declined). Note: Tim Walz is now listed as not running (Ended his 2026 reelection bid for Minnesota governor and said in January 2026 he will 'never run for an elected office again').
Marco Rubio- Age (2026)
- 55
- Home state
- Florida
Percentages are a snapshot of the Polymarket 2028 presidential winner market (June 2026). They move constantly and mostly track name recognition this far out - they are not forecasts.
Rubio vs Walz 2028 polls and odds
Are there Marco Rubio vs Tim Walz polls yet? Not for this exact pairing. Pollsters have begun testing some hypothetical 2028 matchups, but none has published this one. Any single "Marco Rubio vs Tim Walz 2028 poll" you see today is an early, low-signal hypothetical, not a forecast.
What does exist is real, dated primary polling for each name: Marco Rubio polled 16% in the latest Republican primary survey on file (Big Data Poll, September 13-15, 2026, 1,110 LV). Full tables are on the 2028 polls page.
The closest real, continuously updated signal is the prediction market. Below is each candidate's current share of the Polymarket 2028 presidential-winner market - a June 2026 snapshot that, this early, tracks name recognition more than the eventual outcome.
See the full live board on the 2028 election odds page and aggregated survey averages on the 2028 polls page. These percentages are not forecasts and move constantly.
Marco Rubio: where things stand
Former 2016 candidate now serving as Secretary of State, long seen as the main alternative to Vance. On September 9, 2026 he said he has "no plans at this time" to run in 2028 and is focused on his job; Wikipedia now lists him among Republicans who declined to run. He did not rule out a future campaign outright.
Standing: Placed second to JD Vance in most 2028 Republican primary polls through September 2026 (16 percent in Big Data Poll, September 13-15) and is second in the Polymarket Republican nomination market, though he now says he has no plans to run.
Tim Walz: where things stand
The 2024 Democratic vice-presidential nominee and Minnesota governor ended his 2026 reelection bid in January 2026 amid scrutiny over state welfare fraud and said he will never run for elected office again - effectively taking himself out of 2028 contention.
Standing: Ended his 2026 reelection bid for Minnesota governor and said in January 2026 he will 'never run for an elected office again'.
Marco Rubio vs Tim Walz: FAQ
Who would win, Marco Rubio or Tim Walz, in 2028?
Are there Marco Rubio vs Tim Walz 2028 polls?
Are Marco Rubio and Tim Walz running for president in 2028?
Is this a Democrat vs Republican matchup?
Get alerts on this 2028 matchup
We will email you if Marco or Tim enters the race or the odds move.