Democratic primary matchup

Kamala Harris vs Tim Walz: 2028

Kamala Harris and Tim Walz are both potential candidates for the Democratic nomination in 2028. They would be competing for the same primary voters. No one has formally declared yet, so this is a comparison of where each stands, not a result. Note: Tim Walz is now listed as not running (Ended his 2026 reelection bid for Minnesota governor and said in January 2026 he will 'never run for an elected office again').

Kamala Harris

Former Vice President

DemocraticLikely to run

4%Win-presidency snapshot

Age (2026): 61
Home state: California
Age in 2029: 64

Tim Walz

Governor of Minnesota

DemocraticNot running

Age (2026): 62
Home state: Minnesota

Percentages are a snapshot of the Polymarket 2028 presidential winner market (June 2026). They move constantly and mostly track name recognition this far out - they are not forecasts.

Polls and odds

Harris vs Walz 2028 polls and odds

Are there Kamala Harris vs Tim Walz polls yet? Not for this exact pairing. Pollsters have begun testing some hypothetical 2028 matchups, but none has published this one. Any single "Kamala Harris vs Tim Walz 2028 poll" you see today is an early, low-signal hypothetical, not a forecast.

The closest real, continuously updated signal is the prediction market. Below is each candidate's current share of the Polymarket 2028 presidential-winner market - a June 2026 snapshot that, this early, tracks name recognition more than the eventual outcome.

Kamala Harris - chance to win the presidency

n/a

Tim Walz - chance to win the presidency

See the full live board on the 2028 election odds page and aggregated survey averages on the 2028 polls page. These percentages are not forecasts and move constantly.

Kamala Harris: where things stand

The 2024 Democratic nominee retains a national base. She passed on the 2026 California governor race, keeping a 2028 run open, and says she is thinking about it.

Standing: Has led most national 2028 Democratic primary polls since spring 2026, though two summer polls (Emerson, July 19-20; Quantus Insights, August 26-28) put Pete Buttigieg first; only mid-single digits in betting markets.

Full Kamala Harris 2028 profile

Tim Walz: where things stand

The 2024 Democratic vice-presidential nominee and Minnesota governor ended his 2026 reelection bid in January 2026 amid scrutiny over state welfare fraud and said he will never run for elected office again - effectively taking himself out of 2028 contention.

Standing: Ended his 2026 reelection bid for Minnesota governor and said in January 2026 he will 'never run for an elected office again'.

Full Tim Walz 2028 profile

Quick answers

Kamala Harris vs Tim Walz: FAQ

Who would win, Kamala Harris or Tim Walz, in 2028?

It is too early to know. No 2028 nominees have been chosen and no pollster has published a head-to-head for this pairing yet. Kamala Harris is currently rated "Likely to run" and Tim Walz "Not running" to run.

Are there Kamala Harris vs Tim Walz 2028 polls?

Not for this exact pairing yet. Pollsters have begun testing some hypothetical 2028 matchups, but none has published a Kamala Harris vs Tim Walz survey so far. We will add head-to-head polling here as soon as a pollster tests this matchup.

Are Kamala Harris and Tim Walz running for president in 2028?

As of July 2026 neither has formally declared. Kamala Harris: Publicly says she is considering another run; leads recent primary polls. Tim Walz: Ended his 2026 reelection bid for Minnesota governor and said in January 2026 he will 'never run for an elected office again'.

Is this a primary matchup?

Yes. Both Kamala Harris and Tim Walz are Democrats, so they would compete in the same party primary, not against each other in the general election.

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