Republican primary matchup

Ron DeSantis vs Josh Hawley: 2028

Ron DeSantis and Josh Hawley are both potential candidates for the Republican nomination in 2028. They would be competing for the same primary voters. No one has formally declared yet, so this is a comparison of where each stands, not a result. Note: Josh Hawley is now listed as not running (Ruled it out: "No, I have no intention of doing so, period." (Washington Examiner, Sept 2026)).

Ron DeSantis headshotRon DeSantis
Governor of Florida
RepublicanLikely to run
Age (2026)
47
Home state
Florida
Age in 2029
50
VS
Josh Hawley headshotJosh Hawley
U.S. Senator (Missouri)
RepublicanNot running
Age (2026)
46
Home state
Missouri

Neither name is large enough in the prediction markets yet to show a stable number. Compare them on profile, role and status above.

Polls and odds

DeSantis vs Hawley 2028 polls and odds

Are there Ron DeSantis vs Josh Hawley polls yet? Not for this exact pairing. Pollsters have begun testing some hypothetical 2028 matchups, but none has published this one. Any single "Ron DeSantis vs Josh Hawley 2028 poll" you see today is an early, low-signal hypothetical, not a forecast.

The closest real, continuously updated signal is the prediction market. Below is each candidate's current share of the Polymarket 2028 presidential-winner market - a June 2026 snapshot that, this early, tracks name recognition more than the eventual outcome.

Neither name is large enough in the 2028 prediction markets yet to show a stable number. Compare them on profile, role, and status above.

See the full live board on the 2028 election odds page and aggregated survey averages on the 2028 polls page. These percentages are not forecasts and move constantly.

Ron DeSantis: where things stand

The term-limited Florida governor and 2024 candidate has said he is open to another run. His term ends in 2027, freeing him to campaign.

Standing: Between 6% and 9% in the six national Republican primary polls from August to mid-September 2026, behind JD Vance and Marco Rubio in all six and behind Donald Trump Jr. in four.

Full Ron DeSantis 2028 profile

Josh Hawley: where things stand

A populist, economic-nationalist Missouri senator long mentioned for the Trump-aligned lane. In September 2026 he ended speculation about a 2028 bid, telling the Washington Examiner he has no intention of seeking the Republican nomination.

Standing: Ruled it out: "No, I have no intention of doing so, period." (Washington Examiner, Sept 2026).

Full Josh Hawley 2028 profile

Quick answers

Ron DeSantis vs Josh Hawley: FAQ

Who would win, Ron DeSantis or Josh Hawley, in 2028?
It is too early to know. No 2028 nominees have been chosen and no pollster has published a head-to-head for this pairing yet. Ron DeSantis is currently rated "Likely to run" and Josh Hawley "Not running" to run.
Are there Ron DeSantis vs Josh Hawley 2028 polls?
Not for this exact pairing yet. Pollsters have begun testing some hypothetical 2028 matchups, but none has published a Ron DeSantis vs Josh Hawley survey so far. We will add head-to-head polling here as soon as a pollster tests this matchup.
Are Ron DeSantis and Josh Hawley running for president in 2028?
As of July 2026 neither has formally declared. Ron DeSantis: Former candidate; says he is open to running again. Josh Hawley: Ruled it out: "No, I have no intention of doing so, period." (Washington Examiner, Sept 2026).
Is this a primary matchup?
Yes. Both Ron DeSantis and Josh Hawley are Republicans, so they would compete in the same party primary, not against each other in the general election.
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