General election matchup

Andy Beshear vs Marco Rubio: 2028

Andy Beshear (Democratic) and Marco Rubio (Republican) are two of the most-discussed names for 2028 - but they have never faced each other, and no 2028 nominee has been chosen. No pollster has published a head-to-head for this exact pairing yet, so the honest answer to "who would win" is: it is far too early to know. Here is how they actually compare. Note: Marco Rubio is now listed as not running (Said he has "no plans at this time" to run (Sept 2026); Wikipedia lists him as declined).

Andy Beshear headshotAndy Beshear
Governor of Kentucky
DemocraticPossible
Age (2026)
48
Home state
Kentucky
Age in 2029
51
VS
Marco Rubio headshotMarco Rubio
U.S. Secretary of State and National Security Adviser
RepublicanNot running
9%Win-presidency snapshot
Age (2026)
55
Home state
Florida

Percentages are a snapshot of the Polymarket 2028 presidential winner market (June 2026). They move constantly and mostly track name recognition this far out - they are not forecasts.

Polls and odds

Beshear vs Rubio 2028 polls and odds

Are there Andy Beshear vs Marco Rubio polls yet? Not for this exact pairing. Pollsters have begun testing some hypothetical 2028 matchups, but none has published this one. Any single "Andy Beshear vs Marco Rubio 2028 poll" you see today is an early, low-signal hypothetical, not a forecast.

What does exist is real, dated primary polling for each name: Andy Beshear polled 4% in the latest Democratic primary survey on file (Big Data Poll, September 13-15, 2026, 1,329 LV). Marco Rubio polled 16% in the latest Republican primary survey on file (Big Data Poll, September 13-15, 2026, 1,110 LV). Full tables are on the 2028 polls page.

The closest real, continuously updated signal is the prediction market. Below is each candidate's current share of the Polymarket 2028 presidential-winner market - a June 2026 snapshot that, this early, tracks name recognition more than the eventual outcome.

n/a
Andy Beshear - chance to win the presidency
9%
Marco Rubio - chance to win the presidency

See the full live board on the 2028 election odds page and aggregated survey averages on the 2028 polls page. These percentages are not forecasts and move constantly.

Andy Beshear: where things stand

A twice-elected Democratic governor of deep-red Kentucky and 2026 chair of the Democratic Governors Association. He has stepped up national travel and openly acknowledges weighing a 2028 run, but says he will not decide until he is done as DGA chair.

Standing: As 2026 DGA chair has stepped up national travel; says he will not decide until his term as DGA chair ends.

Full Andy Beshear 2028 profile

Marco Rubio: where things stand

Former 2016 candidate now serving as Secretary of State, long seen as the main alternative to Vance. On September 9, 2026 he said he has "no plans at this time" to run in 2028 and is focused on his job; Wikipedia now lists him among Republicans who declined to run. He did not rule out a future campaign outright.

Standing: Placed second to JD Vance in most 2028 Republican primary polls through September 2026 (16 percent in Big Data Poll, September 13-15) and is second in the Polymarket Republican nomination market, though he now says he has no plans to run.

Full Marco Rubio 2028 profile

Quick answers

Andy Beshear vs Marco Rubio: FAQ

Who would win, Andy Beshear or Marco Rubio, in 2028?
It is too early to know. No 2028 nominees have been chosen and no pollster has published a head-to-head for this pairing yet. Andy Beshear is currently rated "Possible" and Marco Rubio "Not running" to run.
Are there Andy Beshear vs Marco Rubio 2028 polls?
Not for this exact pairing yet. Pollsters have begun testing some hypothetical 2028 matchups, but none has published a Andy Beshear vs Marco Rubio survey so far. We will add head-to-head polling here as soon as a pollster tests this matchup.
Are Andy Beshear and Marco Rubio running for president in 2028?
As of July 2026 neither has formally declared. Andy Beshear: As 2026 DGA chair has stepped up national travel; says he will not decide until his term as DGA chair ends. Marco Rubio: Said he has "no plans at this time" to run (Sept 2026); Wikipedia lists him as declined.
Is this a Democrat vs Republican matchup?
Yes. Andy Beshear is a Democrat and Marco Rubio is a Republican, so this would be a general-election style matchup if both won their party's nomination.
Don't miss the moment

Get alerts on this 2028 matchup

We will email you if Andy or Marco enters the race or the odds move.