General election matchup

Andy Beshear vs Josh Hawley: 2028

Andy Beshear (Democratic) and Josh Hawley (Republican) are two of the most-discussed names for 2028 - but they have never faced each other, and no 2028 nominee has been chosen. No pollster has published a head-to-head for this exact pairing yet, so the honest answer to "who would win" is: it is far too early to know. Here is how they actually compare. Note: Josh Hawley is now listed as not running (Ruled it out: "No, I have no intention of doing so, period." (Washington Examiner, Sept 2026)).

Andy Beshear headshotAndy Beshear
Governor of Kentucky
DemocraticPossible
Age (2026)
48
Home state
Kentucky
Age in 2029
51
VS
Josh Hawley headshotJosh Hawley
U.S. Senator (Missouri)
RepublicanNot running
Age (2026)
46
Home state
Missouri

Neither name is large enough in the prediction markets yet to show a stable number. Compare them on profile, role and status above.

Polls and odds

Beshear vs Hawley 2028 polls and odds

Are there Andy Beshear vs Josh Hawley polls yet? Not for this exact pairing. Pollsters have begun testing some hypothetical 2028 matchups, but none has published this one. Any single "Andy Beshear vs Josh Hawley 2028 poll" you see today is an early, low-signal hypothetical, not a forecast.

What does exist is real, dated primary polling for each name: Andy Beshear polled 4% in the latest Democratic primary survey on file (Big Data Poll, September 13-15, 2026, 1,329 LV). Full tables are on the 2028 polls page.

The closest real, continuously updated signal is the prediction market. Below is each candidate's current share of the Polymarket 2028 presidential-winner market - a June 2026 snapshot that, this early, tracks name recognition more than the eventual outcome.

Neither name is large enough in the 2028 prediction markets yet to show a stable number. Compare them on profile, role, and status above.

See the full live board on the 2028 election odds page and aggregated survey averages on the 2028 polls page. These percentages are not forecasts and move constantly.

Andy Beshear: where things stand

A twice-elected Democratic governor of deep-red Kentucky and 2026 chair of the Democratic Governors Association. He has stepped up national travel and openly acknowledges weighing a 2028 run, but says he will not decide until he is done as DGA chair.

Standing: As 2026 DGA chair has stepped up national travel; says he will not decide until his term as DGA chair ends.

Full Andy Beshear 2028 profile

Josh Hawley: where things stand

A populist, economic-nationalist Missouri senator long mentioned for the Trump-aligned lane. In September 2026 he ended speculation about a 2028 bid, telling the Washington Examiner he has no intention of seeking the Republican nomination.

Standing: Ruled it out: "No, I have no intention of doing so, period." (Washington Examiner, Sept 2026).

Full Josh Hawley 2028 profile

Quick answers

Andy Beshear vs Josh Hawley: FAQ

Who would win, Andy Beshear or Josh Hawley, in 2028?
It is too early to know. No 2028 nominees have been chosen and no pollster has published a head-to-head for this pairing yet. Andy Beshear is currently rated "Possible" and Josh Hawley "Not running" to run.
Are there Andy Beshear vs Josh Hawley 2028 polls?
Not for this exact pairing yet. Pollsters have begun testing some hypothetical 2028 matchups, but none has published a Andy Beshear vs Josh Hawley survey so far. We will add head-to-head polling here as soon as a pollster tests this matchup.
Are Andy Beshear and Josh Hawley running for president in 2028?
As of July 2026 neither has formally declared. Andy Beshear: As 2026 DGA chair has stepped up national travel; says he will not decide until his term as DGA chair ends. Josh Hawley: Ruled it out: "No, I have no intention of doing so, period." (Washington Examiner, Sept 2026).
Is this a Democrat vs Republican matchup?
Yes. Andy Beshear is a Democrat and Josh Hawley is a Republican, so this would be a general-election style matchup if both won their party's nomination.
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