Best deep reads on the 2028 electoral map and swing states
The Electoral College math, the battlegrounds, and the path to 270 in 2028 - the analyses that take the map seriously.
The 2028 Electoral Map reads, ranked
Article links open in a new tab.
Opinion: The Democrats' Looming 2032 Cliff
Argues that Census-driven Electoral College shifts will create a structural cliff for Democrats in 2032 and beyond, with direct implications for 2028 coalition-building strategy.
Are Our Parties Realigning?
National Affairs essay examines whether the working-class shift to Republicans and college-educated shift to Democrats constitutes a durable realignment that will define the 2028 electoral map.
The Electoral College Is Poised to Get Tougher for Democrats
Census population shifts will reduce Democratic electoral vote totals and narrow their path to 270, making the Electoral College structurally harder for future Democratic nominees including in 2028.
2028 Electoral College Simulator
Interactive electoral-college scenario tool by G. Elliott Morris that lets users model state-by-state outcomes for the 2028 presidential race.
Why 2028 May Be Democrats' Last Best Chance
Based on 2024 presidential election results, these net out to Democratic presidential states losing nine electoral votes and Republican states...
The Republican Party Faces a Bigger Crisis Than the Democratic Party
Bill Scher argues Republicans face a more severe long-term structural crisis than Democrats due to demographic erosion in key states and ideological incoherence, with direct implications for the post-2028 Electoral College map.
Democrats could face an uphill Electoral College after 2030, new ...
Two early Electoral College projections show big shifts in the presidential battlefield. A supporter of President-elect Joe Biden holds up his...
The Presidential Swing States that Will Matter - in 2028
Analysis of electoral map and swing states critical for 2028 Democratic nominee.
Donald Trump Just Created Five New Swing States for 2028
Analysis of how Trump's presidency is reshaping the electoral map for 2028.
The Looming Democratic Reapportionment Crisis - WelcomeStack
The next Census will shift the Electoral College decisively towards Republicans. Democrats must take action now.
2028 presidential hopefuls flock to key battleground states: Where have they traveled?
ABC News tracking of 2028 candidates' travel to early primary and swing states
Illinois in Play? How Pritzker's Popularity Could Reshape 2028 Map
Analysis of whether Pritzker's strong performance in Illinois could make him a strategic asset in 2028, particularly in Midwest battlegrounds.
What are the current swing states, and how have they changed over time?
Analysis of swing state evolution with implications for 2028 electoral landscape.
Demographic Swingometer - Cook Political Report
CPR's Demographic Swingometers showcase how shifts among demographic and age groups could swing the Electoral College. Developed by: David Wasserman...
Georgia Republican legislative leaders reject governor's call for ...
Reports that Georgia Republican legislative leaders rejected Governor Kemp's call to redraw electoral maps for 2028, citing need for public deliberation.
A look ahead: the Electoral College in 2028
Analysis of Electoral College dynamics and state-by-state projections for 2028
Cooper for President - Talking About Politics
Roy Cooper could be just what the Democratic Party will need in 2028. A progressive with a Southern accent. A proven winner in a swing state.
Polling | The New Yorker
Nate Cohn, the New York Times' chief political analyst, breaks down Kamala Harris's performance in the battleground states and how we should think about polling...
The battleground states that will shape the election
New polling shows Joe Biden trailing Donald Trump in five out of six key swing states. Voters there say they want change - which presents a...