Live market average

Gavin Newsom 2028 odds

Gavin Newsom sits at about 9.4% on average across Polymarket, Kalshi, PredictIt (live prices). That number reflects trader sentiment, not a forecast, and moves constantly.

Gavin Newsom

Governor of California

9.4%market average

About Gavin Newsom and 2028

Term-limited California governor and front-of-pack Democrat who built a national profile countering the Trump administration. In June 2026 he said he and his wife are under federal investigation, calling it political retaliation for weighing a 2028 bid. In September 2026 he said he would not run if Kamala Harris runs, and says he will decide after the 2026 midterms.

Recent standing: Third in the Polymarket 2028 Democratic nomination market (about 13 percent on Sept 23, 2026, behind Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez and Jon Ossoff) and second to Kamala Harris in most recent national Democratic primary polls.

Full Gavin Newsom 2028 profile - each market's price

Quick answers

Gavin Newsom 2028 odds FAQ

What are Gavin Newsom's odds of winning in 2028?

Gavin Newsom sits at about 9.4% on average across Polymarket, Kalshi, PredictIt (live prices). That number reflects trader sentiment, not a forecast, and moves constantly.

Is Gavin Newsom the favorite for 2028?

Gavin Newsom is among the names the markets track, but no one is a strong favorite this far out.

Where can I see Gavin Newsom's live odds?

Live, real-money odds trade on Polymarket, Kalshi and PredictIt. This page shows their average; the 2028 odds page breaks it down market by market with a 90-day history chart.

All contenders on the 2028 odds board.