Democratic primary matchup

Gavin Newsom vs Tim Walz: 2028

Gavin Newsom and Tim Walz are both potential candidates for the Democratic nomination in 2028. They would be competing for the same primary voters. No one has formally declared yet, so this is a comparison of where each stands, not a result.

Gavin Newsom headshotGavin Newsom
Governor of California
DemocraticLikely to run
15%Win-presidency snapshot
Age (2026)
58
Home state
California
Age in 2029
61
VS
Tim Walz headshotTim Walz
Governor of Minnesota
DemocraticPossible
Age (2026)
62
Home state
Minnesota
Age in 2029
64

Percentages are a snapshot of the Polymarket 2028 presidential winner market (June 2026). They move constantly and mostly track name recognition this far out - they are not forecasts.

Gavin Newsom: where things stand

Term-limited California governor with a high national profile built countering the Trump administration. Says he will give 2028 serious thought after the 2026 midterms.

Standing: Sits near the top of Democratic prediction markets and polls a close second among Democrats in early primary surveys.

Full Gavin Newsom 2028 profile

Tim Walz: where things stand

The 2024 Democratic vice-presidential nominee and two-term Minnesota governor, occasionally mentioned as a 2028 possibility after his national run.

Standing: 2024 Democratic vice-presidential nominee; floated for 2028.

Full Tim Walz 2028 profile

Quick answers

Gavin Newsom vs Tim Walz: FAQ

Who would win, Gavin Newsom or Tim Walz, in 2028?
It is too early to know. No 2028 nominees have been chosen and reliable head-to-head 2028 polling does not exist yet. Gavin Newsom is currently rated "Likely to run" and Tim Walz "Possible" to run.
Are Gavin Newsom and Tim Walz running for president in 2028?
As of June 2026 neither has formally declared. Gavin Newsom: Near the top of Democratic prediction markets; operatives' 'guy to beat'. Tim Walz: 2024 Democratic vice-presidential nominee; floated for 2028.
Is this a primary matchup?
Yes. Both Gavin Newsom and Tim Walz are Democrats, so they would compete in the same party primary, not against each other in the general election.
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