Gavin Newsom vs Josh Shapiro: 2028
Gavin Newsom and Josh Shapiro are both potential candidates for the Democratic nomination in 2028. They would be competing for the same primary voters. No one has formally declared yet, so this is a comparison of where each stands, not a result.
Gavin Newsom- Age (2026)
- 58
- Home state
- California
- Age in 2029
- 61
Josh Shapiro- Age (2026)
- 53
- Home state
- Pennsylvania
- Age in 2029
- 55
Percentages are a snapshot of the Polymarket 2028 presidential winner market (June 2026). They move constantly and mostly track name recognition this far out - they are not forecasts.
Gavin Newsom: where things stand
Term-limited California governor with a high national profile built countering the Trump administration. Says he will give 2028 serious thought after the 2026 midterms.
Standing: Sits near the top of Democratic prediction markets and polls a close second among Democrats in early primary surveys.
Josh Shapiro: where things stand
Popular governor of the pivotal swing state of Pennsylvania, seen as a strong general-election profile. Appeared alongside other hopefuls on the early circuit.
Standing: Polls in high single digits; consistently ranked top-tier by analysts.
Gavin Newsom vs Josh Shapiro: FAQ
Who would win, Gavin Newsom or Josh Shapiro, in 2028?
Are Gavin Newsom and Josh Shapiro running for president in 2028?
Is this a primary matchup?
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