General explainer

Is Phil Murphy running for president in 2028?

Phil Murphy has not ruled out a 2028 presidential run but openly plays it down. The former two-term New Jersey governor said in December 2025 that he 'wouldn't put a lot of money on that.' He does not appear as a named choice in any of the eleven mid-2026 national Democratic primary surveys -- consistent with his undeclared status and low national polling. Murphy and Cory Booker, the New Jersey senator, are both New Jersey residents; a Murphy-Booker or Booker-Murphy ticket would face a 12th Amendment same-state constraint, putting New Jersey's 14 Safe D electoral votes at risk unless one candidate changed legal domicile before Election Day. He is constitutionally eligible and is tracked as a long-shot possible candidate.

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Related: Phil Murphy - full candidate profile | Will Phil Murphy run for president in 2028? | The 2028 Democratic field | 2028 Democratic primary polls | 2028 prediction-market odds | Everything Phil Murphy has said about 2028

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Has Phil Murphy announced a 2028 presidential run?
No. He said in December 2025 that he had 'not taken anything off the table' but 'wouldn't put a lot of money on that.' He has not filed with the FEC or taken formal campaign steps as of mid-2026.
Is Phil Murphy eligible to run for president in 2028?
Yes. He is a natural-born U.S. citizen. He is 68 years old as of mid-2026, above the constitutional minimum of 35, and meets all three constitutional requirements: natural-born citizenship, age 35 or older, and 14 years of U.S. residency.
Does Phil Murphy appear in the 2028 Democratic primary polls?
No. Murphy does not appear as a named choice in any of the eleven mid-2026 national Democratic primary surveys tracked on this site (McLaughlin and Associates, Echelon Insights, Noble Predictive Insights, Focaldata, Harvard-Harris, I&I/TIPP, Big Data Poll, Emerson College, Rasmussen Reports, Overton Insights, and a second Echelon Insights poll, all fielded May-June 2026). The nine named choices across those surveys are Kamala Harris, Gavin Newsom, Pete Buttigieg, Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, Josh Shapiro, Mark Kelly, Cory Booker, JB Pritzker, and Andy Beshear. His absence reflects his low national name recognition outside New Jersey and the fact that he has not taken the organizing steps that typically prompt pollsters to include a name.
What is Phil Murphy's background?
Murphy served two terms as Democratic governor of New Jersey (2018-2026), making him one of the few Democrats to win re-election to that office in the modern era. Before politics he was a senior Goldman Sachs executive and served as the U.S. Ambassador to Germany under President Obama. He left office in January 2026 when Mikie Sherrill succeeded him.
What is Phil Murphy's status in the 2028 race?
He is tracked as a possible but long-shot candidate. He has not ruled out a run but openly downplays it. He does not appear as a named choice in any of the eleven mid-2026 national Democratic primary surveys and is not a meaningful factor in prediction markets. His own December 2025 formulation - 'I wouldn't put a lot of money on that' - is the clearest public signal of his intentions.
Does the 12th Amendment create a same-state constraint for Phil Murphy in New Jersey?
Yes, if Murphy were to ticket with Cory Booker. Both are New Jersey residents (homeState: New Jersey per lib/candidates.ts), and New Jersey has 14 electoral votes (Safe D, voted D 2016, 2020, 2024). The 12th Amendment prevents New Jersey electors from casting both their presidential and vice-presidential votes for two New Jersey residents, putting those 14 Safe D electoral votes at risk unless one candidate established legal domicile in another state before Election Day -- the same type of constraint Dick Cheney resolved by re-registering from Texas to Wyoming before joining the George W. Bush ticket in 2000. No 12th Amendment same-state constraint applies between Murphy and candidates from other states: Harris (California), Newsom (California), Buttigieg (Michigan), Ocasio-Cortez (New York), Shapiro (Pennsylvania), Beshear (Kentucky), Klobuchar (Minnesota), Emanuel (Illinois), or Warnock (Georgia).
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Related explainers

Is Jared Polis running for president in 2028?

Jared Polis has not announced a 2028 presidential campaign. The Colorado governor does not appear as a named choice in any of the eleven mid-2026 national Democratic primary surveys -- consistent with his undeclared status. Polis is the only tracked 2028 presidential candidate from Colorado; Colorado has 10 electoral votes classified as Safe D, and no same-state 12th Amendment constraint exists for a Polis ticket with any leading 2028 Democrat from outside Colorado. He is tracked as a possible candidate who is term-limited as governor after January 2027 and is constitutionally eligible.

Is Rahm Emanuel running for president in 2028?

Rahm Emanuel has not declared a 2028 presidential campaign but is among the most active Democratic 2028 signalers. He has said publicly he is thinking about a run and has toured early-primary states, though he says he will not decide until after the 2026 midterms. He does not appear as a named choice in any of the eleven mid-2026 national Democratic primary surveys -- consistent with his undeclared and low-polling status. Emanuel and fellow Illinois resident J.B. Pritzker, the governor of Illinois, are both tracked 2028 Democrats from the same state; an Emanuel-Pritzker or Pritzker-Emanuel ticket would face a 12th Amendment same-state constraint, putting Illinois's 19 Safe D electoral votes at risk unless one candidate changed legal domicile before Election Day. He is constitutionally eligible.

Is Gretchen Whitmer running for president in 2028?

Gretchen Whitmer's 2028 intentions are genuinely ambiguous. In May 2026 the Michigan governor said 'I will not be one of them in 2028,' then walked it back hours later, saying 'I guess I should know better to never say never.' Whitmer does not appear as a named choice in any of the eleven mid-2026 national Democratic primary surveys -- consistent with her undeclared status -- while fellow Michigan resident Pete Buttigieg leads two of them. She is tracked as a possible candidate and is constitutionally eligible.

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